Thursday, 7 June 2012

US Property Market Recovery May Be Slowed by Weaker Jobs Growth

During the last three months the jobs growth in the US has been relatively weak, and is likely to slow down the recovery in the housing market. Recently the unemployment rate increased to 8.2% as businesses are still failing to hire new workers.

Last month the jobs growth was just 69,000, while at least 400,000 new jobs need to be added to the economy in order for it to be considered to be on the road to recovery. There are concerns that the worldwide economy may be slowing, and that they could be more economic troubles just around the corner, especially with the continued Eurozone debt crisis.

Historically it's been shown that property transactions usually lag behind employment gains by at least a year. At the moment first-time buyers and investors account for around two thirds of all house purchasers.

Many homeowners are trapped due to lack of equity, or have negative equity, while those who still have adequate equity are often reluctant to move due to low home prices. At the moment mortgage rates are at their lowest level ever, with a recent Freddie Mac survey showing the fixed rate for a 30 year mortgage was just 3.75%.

It could be that more people will be prompted to take the plunge during the busy summer selling period, provided they are able to qualify for a mortgage. At the moment the banks still require very high credit scores in order to obtain conventional financing.

However government backed schemes such as the FHA require lower credit scores to qualify. Certain areas of the country, especially those in the hardest hit regions are already showing significant signs of improvement. In addition job gains have been reported in warehousing and transportation, as well as healthcare.